STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Moving Beyond Strategic Distractions
The deep and intractable humanitarian morass of the Yemen conflict has diverted attention away from the broader strategic framework, with serious consequences.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Changes in the Indian Ocean at the Core of the “New Balance”
Could the UK soon lose sovereignty over Diego Garcia? If so, the US would lose another key base in the Indo-Pacific. And how are Oman and Qatar planning for the future? Could the US even project force again into a major Afghan operation, or into Iraq?
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Ethiopia’s Naval Revival Has Global Ramifications
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Triumph of Belief: Red Sea Rising
The Red Sea is emerging as a key global strategic dynamic thanks to a revolution begun in Ethiopia. The transformation moves back to a 3,000-year-old pattern, and is far from done.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Ethiopia Moves to Re-Establish Itself as a Red Sea Power
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Africa I: Abiy Transforms the Horn, and Egypt’s Position
Indicators of emerging patterns of global significance
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
Devouring the Kingdom
US-Saudi and Saudi-PRC relations are a factor in continued US dollar dominance. Beijing is poised to become a major rival to the US for influence in Saudi Arabia, and this could become the hub of the launch of the renminbi as a global currency.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EARLY WARNING | Beijing Dispenses with Niceties
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Africa’s Significant Rôle in Beijing’s Global Strategy
Africa has assumed a central rôle in the strategy of the PRC, and promises to become — through China’s portion of the Silk Road — integral to Beijing’s future.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Using Icons to Change Outcomes
Preventing conflict and dissension in Ethiopia may be more about prestige than power
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Global Strategic Architecture: Indo-Pacific Overtures
How the Present, Multi-Dimension Imbroglio Plays Out. Global Power is at Stake.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR