ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
Great plans to transform global supply chain dominance have largely been destroyed by economic and political collapse, from Beijing to most Western capitals.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Yerevan’s long list of self-inflicted wounds has culminated with its “break with Moscow”.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Old concepts of “the Middle East” using various geographic models, or using Arab or Arabic or Muslim overlays, are now not representative of the “new Middle East” which is, for the first time in centuries, less definable than ever, by its name and by other simple descriptors.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Türkiye’s ballistic missile program is expanding significantly as it not only expands cooperation with Pakistan, but also creates a test range in Somalia. Ankara now dominates the Horn of Africa in many military-diplomatic and trade matters.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
A staff estimate on a topic of current importance
Argentina
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The global military environment has, with the political division of the world, changed dramatically since 1990. But military doctrine, and the tools to cope with the new world, are still insufficiently developed.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
The transformation of the global strategic architecture is well advanced, bringing with it the slow death of some of the structures begun in the industrial revolution, and the slow birth or re-birth of identities seeking sovereign security.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
So far, the Yemeni attacks have been militarily ineffective, albeit psychologically critical. This is, in fact, primarily a psychological war gambit, and the impact on shipping insurance costs is proving strategically significant.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
So far, the Fano groups have not had foreign support, except for the moral support of Eritrea. But the next phase will see — as it did with the Arbegnoch in the 1939-41 phase — the establishment of unified communications and command.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The surprise announcement of the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor lacks clarity as to the US's intention in drafting the concept, and how it will proceed.