STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Samarkand: A Global Change with Washington Out in the Cold
A subtle shift in the global balance has occurred, without direct US input.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Defining Governance in Times of Strategic Instability
Do we even understand the four terms which will guide our command over the future: Sovereignty, Democracy, Monarchy, Republic?
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | Chaos, and the Opportunity for Choice
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | Sri Lanka and the Start of a Starvation Pandemic
Poor governmental decisions are leading to starvation…and public retaliation.
AFRICA
EN CLAIR | Hope in Ethiopia?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Immediate Strategic Consequences of the Ukraine War
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CALIR | The End of “Business as Usual”
The Ukraine war has helped crystallize a confluence of negative strategic trends.
HISTORY
Reflections as We Move Into the New Global Architecture
Defense & Foreign Affairs has turned 50. It has lived through a transformative period, but one which serves only as a prelude to a totally new era. Should we be celebrating? Or should we be equipping ourselves for a very different future? The answer is surprisingly positive.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
The Collapse of Wisdom and the Rise of Chaos
Wisdom versus Desire and Intellect; Age versus Youth; Individuals versus Crowds; Country versus Town: This is more than just social media-driven polarization.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | Ethiopians Have “Become Lost”: What’s Next?
Could a military intervention be the only answer if the system becomes more stressed, and external pressures threaten the break-up of Ethiopia?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Global Restructuring: Who’s Listening to the Big Powers?
Mali’s rejection of outside influences spelled a major reverse in Africa for France, the West, and ECOWAS, but it brought no joy for Beijing, or for regional or global governance.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Jakarta: Balancing, Yet Moving
Indonesia's movement toward greater regional economic and strategic power is showing success, and it is occurring with excruciating care to balance its position between superpowers.