CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Ethiopia Revives as a Red Sea Power
Put aside age-old conflict-driving myths, and opportunities abound.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Test: How Washington Reacts Determines How the World Moves
And, in a unique period of change, the new US Administration is operating from old strategic perceptions, even as it adopts new technology and doctrine
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Turkey, Iran, Biden Push Against Impact of Abraham Accords
The Palestinians — the PA and HAMAS — as well as Turkey, Iran, and Qatar had no option but to return to a state of open warfare against Israel if they were to regain the strategic high ground, lost as a result of the 2020 Abraham Accords.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Jordan’s Fragility in a Fragile Zone
The Eastern Mediterranean-Red Sea strategic nexus is operating in a balance of weakness, and the Hashemite Kingdom is vulnerable.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Seeing Reality in the Red Sea Wars
Could the Ethiopia-Egypt conflict be reversed into an alliance?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Iran-Israel Confrontation Divides the US from Sunni Arabia
...It is unlikely that Washington’s present strategies will result in a restoration of the influence it once had in Tehran or Cairo.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EARLY WARNING | Farewell, Naïve and Sentimental Voter
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Is Egypt Pushing Sudan Into a New Military Government?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Libya: Working to a Doomed Solution
Why are there no real Libyan interests in the proposed Libyan solution?
HISTORY
Strategic Frameworks: The World After Westphalia
Global cyclical change led to a gradual shift from monarchies and empires to republics in the late 19th and early 20th centuries. But the cyclical age of “democratic republics” is now itself passing, as the world moves again from defensive to offensive posturing.
SOVEREIGNTY
EN CLAIR | Ethiopia’s Emerging Year of Decisions
It’s not just the fighting: Prime Minister Abiy must start considering “Ethiopian Solutions to Ethiopian Problems” as his country returns to its historical identity.