SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Jordan’s Fragility in a Fragile Zone
The Eastern Mediterranean-Red Sea strategic nexus is operating in a balance of weakness, and the Hashemite Kingdom is vulnerable.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Seeing Reality in the Red Sea Wars
Could the Ethiopia-Egypt conflict be reversed into an alliance?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Iran-Israel Confrontation Divides the US from Sunni Arabia
...It is unlikely that Washington’s present strategies will result in a restoration of the influence it once had in Tehran or Cairo.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EARLY WARNING | Farewell, Naïve and Sentimental Voter
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Is Egypt Pushing Sudan Into a New Military Government?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Libya: Working to a Doomed Solution
Why are there no real Libyan interests in the proposed Libyan solution?
HISTORY
Strategic Frameworks: The World After Westphalia
Global cyclical change led to a gradual shift from monarchies and empires to republics in the late 19th and early 20th centuries. But the cyclical age of “democratic republics” is now itself passing, as the world moves again from defensive to offensive posturing.
SOVEREIGNTY
EN CLAIR | Ethiopia’s Emerging Year of Decisions
It’s not just the fighting: Prime Minister Abiy must start considering “Ethiopian Solutions to Ethiopian Problems” as his country returns to its historical identity.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Critical Infrastructure: Taking the Heart Out of the Heartland
Today, strategic infrastructure is vulnerable to all threats. Gaining control of populations may be the first goal of 21st Century total war before hostilities begin, but destroying enemy infrastructure is the first goal once shots are fired, or e-fired.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Restoring the Power and Legitimacy of Governance
Could the restoration of aspects of a more traditional structure help stabilize and inspire Russian governance? Or, indeed, all governments?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The Middle East: Abraham Changes Strategic Realities
A changed Middle East has emerged from the Abraham Accord. Who is ready?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
2021: Return of the Leaders
The great malaise of 2021 will be the year of opportunity for leaders to make their mark.