SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Iran-Israel Confrontation Divides the US from Sunni Arabia
...It is unlikely that Washington’s present strategies will result in a restoration of the influence it once had in Tehran or Cairo.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Is Egypt Pushing Sudan Into a New Military Government?
SOVEREIGNTY
EN CLAIR | Ethiopia’s Emerging Year of Decisions
It’s not just the fighting: Prime Minister Abiy must start considering “Ethiopian Solutions to Ethiopian Problems” as his country returns to its historical identity.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The Middle East: Abraham Changes Strategic Realities
A changed Middle East has emerged from the Abraham Accord. Who is ready?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
2021: Return of the Leaders
The great malaise of 2021 will be the year of opportunity for leaders to make their mark.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Long and Short of Ethiopia's Current Wars
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Ethiopia's Decisive War
Homer, almost 3,000 years ago, noted in the Iliad that Zeus, King of the Gods on Mount Olympus, went “to feast with the Æthiopians, loyal, lordly men, and all of the gods went with him”. Are the Gods still with the Ethiopians?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Amorphous Warfare: Genocide is Alive and Well in Africa
The Oromo war against Ethiopian nationalists and ethnic Amhara peoples is driven by small extremist groups, supported by foreign governments. But it is virulent and gaining traction. Moreover, its impact is strategic.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
War as a (Fatal) Diversion From Reality
Egypt has been in a proxy war with Ethiopia. Ethiopia failed to grasp this, because war would seem fatal for both sides. Then Egypt stepped back from the brink.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
Ethiopia, Egypt: Yesterday’s Issues in Tomorrow’s World
Afghanistan
Beijing’s “Unavoidable” War: The 21st Century’s Total War Has Begun
The new form of “total war” which Beijing has begun is more comprehensive and amorphous than any strategic engagement seen thus far in history. And Beijing has learned from history: direct military engagement is, of necessity, a very secondary component. This is a war which Pres.
SOVEREIGNTY