GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Uncertainty in the Cape
To a large degree, South Africa’s future cohesion depends on the succession from King Goodwill Zwelithini of the Zulus
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Africa: Change Begets New Eras
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Post-COVID-19: Re-Thinking South Africa
If there’s smoke, there must be cigarette smuggling. South Africa, Beijing’s most important African client state, sustains its seemingly-inexorable downward momentum.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
The COVID-19 Wars: Strategic Warfare Amid Chaos, Threat, Opportunity
“[T]he only thing we have to fear is fear itself — nameless, unreasoning, unjustified terror which paralyzes needed efforts to convert retreat into advance.” — Inaugural address of US Pres. Franklin D. Roosevelt, March 4, 1933.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
China’s Communist Party Plans its COVID-19 Recovery
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Beijing, Increasingly Desperate, Continues Assault on Eswatini
PRC's Ambassador to South Africa issued a 7-page statement to Eswatini demanding that it change its diplomatic allegiance from the ROC or face total isolation from the African and world community. Beijing is now lashing out to subdue what is seen as a mounting global repudiation of Beijing.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
What Does Beijing Do Now?
Presidential elections in Taiwan repudiated PRC pressure, just as protests in Hong Kong have done. Beijing hoped 2019 would be the year that all significant opposition to its strategic rise would be silenced.
CRIME & CORRUPTION
Death of a Nation: South Africa’s Refusal to Correct its Course of Corruption and Anger
Collapse in South Africa would have a significant impact on all Southern African regional states and societies, but it would also impact the global trading community and the guarantee of Atlantic-to-Indian Ocean maritime security.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | South China Sea Clashes Inch the Balance Against Beijing
SOVEREIGNTY
EN CLAIR | Beijing Reaps the African Whirlwind
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Why a Coup Attempt in Southern Africa is Strategically Important
The UK has reportedly been promised concessions to exploit Eswatini reserves of diamonds and natural gas, among other things, in a “post-Mswati” Eswatini. And yet the Swati people and chiefdoms overwhelming support their traditional structures and monarchy.
SOVEREIGNTY