STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Global Architecture: When Will There Be a New Global Order?
The “Rules-Based World Order” is in hospice care. Are we already in the inter-pax years?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | Africa’s Powers Largely in Crisis as Volatility Increases
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
EN CLAIR | An African Church Schism Becomes a Global Trigger
Ethiopia’s next leader could create the grand coalition of the Red Sea.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Nigeria’s Election: Military Coups Have Been Better Received
Nigeria’s political structure failed to account for a strong, minority third political party, and ultimately delivered a President-elect representing the policies which two-thirds of the voters opposed, and a President-elect winning only 10 percent of the registered voters.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The New Middle East and Africa: The Red Sea Change of Command
Moscow has moved rapidly to rebuild its influence in the Horn of Africa — and Africa generally — to position itself for “Cold War II”, and Washington is attempting to catch up.
SOVEREIGNTY
A New Middle East Has Emerged
It is an all-new greater Middle East, and the locals mostly now answer to themselves.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Global Architecture: Xi in Arabia
It was more consequential than Washington realized. But now the battle has been joined.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Iran: Death Before Disorder
Iran's clerics are suppressing protests with unprecedented vigor. But then what?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Horn of Africa - War is Over: Long Live the War?
Part of the great war in Ethiopia may be over. But another part is still virulent.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | “Global Britain” or “Middling Britain”: A New Crossroads
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Global Situation Report: Calm in the Eye of the Storm
China’s communists have now placed their fate, and the fate of China’s unwilling people, firmly in the hands of one man. The probable result is the deliberate implosion of mainland China’s economy, a key catalyst in an already unstable global strategic architecture.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Unrest in Nigeria: A SitRep
The proliferation of insurrectionist and criminal threats has pushed Nigeria to a decisive, but by no means irretrievable, point. Its options, however, are likely to become more clear after the 2023 election.