SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
ESSENTIAL READING | Whither Europe?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
EN CLAIR | Serbian PM Gambles on EU Entry
Reports on Issues of Current Strategic Importance
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Turkey’s Gamble to Save Itself
Turkey considers direct military confrontation in Syria as Ankara stares strategic defeat in the face.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Saudi Arabia Throws Down the Gauntlet, But to Whom?
Saudi Arabia’s theater of mass executions on January 2, 2016, was designed to reinforce the authority of its leadership. It may bolster short-term objectives, but it also ended chances for an early end to the Yemen war; it further damaged relations with the US; and it bolstered Turkey’s and Iran’s…
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Controlling Crisis in the Horn of Africa and the Red Sea
Does “peacekeeping”, as it is presently construed by the United Nations concept, really provide long-term resolution of the problems which caused the conflicts? What are our objectives? Have we even defined them?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Russia and Turkey: Not War in the Offing, But Something Far More Important
It is now apparent that Russia can no longer ignore the reality that Turkey will remain the major impediment to Russia's control over its strategic ability to escape the containment of geography as well as geopolitics. The question is: what can it do about it, and when?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
RedMed: The Global Nexus at the Suez, Red Sea, and Horn of Africa
Why the RedMed Region is Becoming Increasingly Central to the Emerging Global Strategic Framework
SOVEREIGNTY
Break-up: The Medium-Term Prospect for Turkey, Saudi Arabia
The break-up of the United Kingdom as a result of Scottish separatism, or the break-up of Spain due to Catalan secessionism, or of Canada: all can be discussed. But a major challenge of the coming decade or so will be whether Turkey and Saudi Arabia can remain intact as states.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Elections Move Turkey to Civil War, Rather Than Stability
Turkish Pres. Reçep Tayyip Erdogan deliberately pushed the massive migratory flow into Europe to blackmail the EU into pre-election support for his party. It worked. Will he now, as he promised, stem the flow?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | All Change in the Middle East? Syria, Egypt Trend Positively; Saudi, Iran Transform
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Red Sea and Indian Ocean: Fishing in Troubled Waters
Djibouti takes center stage as Horn, Arabian Peninsula, and the muddied waters of the Red Sea come “into play”. Just as the Suez Canal doubles its capacity, Iran enjoys new freedom of operations, and Beijing begins consolidating its reach into strategic bases in the region.