DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
One BRIC at a Time
The Africa-Middle East space and the implications of the BRICS expansion and rising instability: it’s all about perception, and perception counts.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The New Scramble in Africa
Now the fruits of Africa’s new era of coups are apparent, not just with the coup in Niger, but also with the other recent coups and “non-constitutional” changes of government.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Has the West Abandoned Central Asia, and Vice-Versa?
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 08/2026
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CLAIR | Beijing Plays its Puppets in Buenos Aires and Brussels
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
A New Eastern Mediterranean Strategic Matrix is Evolving
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Proud Suicide of Türkiye
Türkiye, after its Presidential election, enhanced its negotiating position in the Great Game over Central Asia, but in all other metrics entered possible terminal strategic decline.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 04/2023
AUKUS alliance
CURRENT ESTIMATE | AUKUS: The Global Alliance is Not Just About Submarines
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Unready Now; Uncertain Future
Economic, social, and military instabilities escalate, but readiness to face them evaporates.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | The Endless Saga of Balkan Mischief
Washington and London are taking advantage of the distraction of the Russia-Ukraine conflict to maneuver against Russia’s allies — or, more logically, Russia’s perceived allies — in the Balkans. Washington and London are working to broaden the proxy war against Russia.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Alliances: Know When to Fold 'em
We cling to old alliances as we cling to childhood blankets, and treat them just as badly. But do we understand them, and their finite lifespans and purposes?