SOVEREIGNTY
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Margaret Thatcher, and How Victory is Achieved
A tribute.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Geostrategic Architecture: Suspended Belief
Even North Korea’s strategic brinkmanship has links to the Eastern Mediterranean/Northern Tier crises, but, with everyone so focused on their own geographic area of interest, nobody notices the big picture. It’s as though all beliefs have become suspended in bubbles of jargon.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Complex Soup: The “Eastern-Mediterranean, Central-Asian, East Asian, Euro-Atlantic and Others” Unified Dilemma
A butterfly flaps its wings at a nuclear test site in Punggye-ri in North Korea, and a political equation becomes a tidal wave in Tehran. It’s more complicated than that, but, yes, everything is related.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Africa: Mali, Nigeria, and the Bigger Picture
The Mali War will be neither simple nor quick, ‘though the players all wish it so.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Mali: Center Stage
The international community finally began addressing the issue of Islamist fighters in Mali. This provided an opportunity for Nigeria, in particular, to rebuild its own security and political stability. But there was still no guarantee that the opportunity would be grasped.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Mali: Pivotal Point
Paralyzing factors — including Algeria’s secret nuclear program — conspire against addressing Mali’s growing safe-haven for the jihadist fighters who threaten the stability of West Africa’s energy production, now a pivotal component of US and European requirements.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 10/2012
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Nigerian Security Situation Deteriorates; the PRC Frets
An estimate of an area of key current significance
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
A Confluence of Events in the Horn of Africa
The announcement of the death of Ethiopian Prime Minister Meles Zenawi — possibly a month after he actually died — starts to focus the growing confluence of events in the Horn of Africa; events which show a profound watershed in the strategic situation along one of the most significant trade…
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Changes in Latitudes; Changes in Attitudes
Changes in the Global Strategic Architecture and their Ramifications for Sea Lane Security, with Particular Emphasis on the South China Sea Issue.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Global Strategic Architecture: A Very Different Global Pattern
Economic, social, political, and demographic changes are key drivers in what is a transforming global strategic architecture. This will necessitate a revision of existing power projection, trade, and intelligence priorities, structures, and doctrine to meet the emerging realities.