GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | While Ukraine Burns, Turkey Ponders a War with Greece
Turkey’s President is now at his most desperate position since he became Prime Minister in 2003, and has a limited timeframe in which to recover his position, either electorally or, due to a national security emergency, before the June 2023 elections.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | The Meaninglessness of “Left” and “Right”
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Immediate Strategic Consequences of the Ukraine War
HISTORY
ESSENTIAL READING | A Ukrainian View
Important New Strategic Literature
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Future Security: Cometh the Hour …
Cold War II has begun. The global architecture has now changed. What can we expect in the security and strategic realms?
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 04/2022
RESOURCES
How the Ukraine War Has Saved Communist China
Beijing finally has the chance to throw off some of its dependency on US food supplies, giving it an enormous new lease of strategic freedom.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Canada’s Justin Trudeau Ignites a New Worldwide Trend
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
US-Russia: Do All Major Wars Begin With “Phony Wars”?
It started as an information dominance campaign carried out abroad to distract US voters from the unpopularity of their government, running up to new elections. But it has placed Ukraine in a no-win situation, and has already led to a profound and lasting division in NATO.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EARLY WARNING | Humanity Walks Unguarded to the Gallows
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CLAIR | Return of Free-Form Strategic Dynamics in the Middle East, Northern Tier, and Africa
Coups, as a form of “regime change”, are once again “permissible” in the greater Middle East and Africa as out-of-region powers lose traction. But then what?