SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CLAIR | Return of Free-Form Strategic Dynamics in the Middle East, Northern Tier, and Africa
Coups, as a form of “regime change”, are once again “permissible” in the greater Middle East and Africa as out-of-region powers lose traction. But then what?
Afghanistan
AUKUS: The Dysfunctional Birth and Accidental Promise of the West’s New Global Alliance
Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States hastily created a new global alliance, but its founders have different views of alliance priorities. AUKUS might actually work, but the US seems intent on jeopardizing Red Sea security, critical to making the bloc work.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Global Trends: Lostpolitik
Germany’s 2021 elections accelerated the leadership vacuum in the European Union and its growing strategic irrelevance, but equally highlighted the tentative rise of a new global power framework …
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | We Have Met the Enemy…
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Global Ramifications of the PRC’s Economic Implosion
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The New “Go” Complexity of the Global “Great Game”
The chess-board of Central Asia’s “Great Game” was transformed into the intense complexity of the ancient Chinese game of Go — Weiqi — when the collapse of the latest phase of the eternal Afghan wars sent the consequences virally through global security frameworks.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | Stirring the Primordial Soup of a New World
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
EN CLAIR | UK-Australia: A Long Way to Go
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Grand Strategy: Opening Gambits
The set-piece Black Sea confrontation between the Royal Navy and Russia served as a theatrical start of a new era of conflict.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Test: How Washington Reacts Determines How the World Moves
And, in a unique period of change, the new US Administration is operating from old strategic perceptions, even as it adopts new technology and doctrine
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Britain’s Grand Strategic Vision
“Wider still and wider shall thy bounds be set” — from the chorus of “Land of Hope and Glory” — describes the UK’s return to a global mission, and it only remains to be seen whether UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson will have the resources to accomplish his vision in its entirety.