STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Test: How Washington Reacts Determines How the World Moves
And, in a unique period of change, the new US Administration is operating from old strategic perceptions, even as it adopts new technology and doctrine
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | The Indo-Pacific’s Changing Strategic Equilibrium
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Jordan’s Fragility in a Fragile Zone
The Eastern Mediterranean-Red Sea strategic nexus is operating in a balance of weakness, and the Hashemite Kingdom is vulnerable.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Seeing Reality in the Red Sea Wars
Could the Ethiopia-Egypt conflict be reversed into an alliance?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Britain’s Grand Strategic Vision
“Wider still and wider shall thy bounds be set” — from the chorus of “Land of Hope and Glory” — describes the UK’s return to a global mission, and it only remains to be seen whether UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson will have the resources to accomplish his vision in its entirety.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Run Silent, Run Sometime. Please
Australia is running into a new “submarine gap”, and a submarine budget which severely distorts its defense budget and strategic profile. What is to be done?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Libya: Working to a Doomed Solution
Why are there no real Libyan interests in the proposed Libyan solution?
HISTORY
Strategic Frameworks: The World After Westphalia
Global cyclical change led to a gradual shift from monarchies and empires to republics in the late 19th and early 20th centuries. But the cyclical age of “democratic republics” is now itself passing, as the world moves again from defensive to offensive posturing.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Strategic Frameworks: How Sovereignty Evolves
The concept of the “Westphalian state” — the modern nation-state — has been evolving since 1648, but will we soon see a significant new way in which nationalism and sovereignty are perceived and structured? Somehow, the nation-state does not seem set to disappear.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
ESSENTIAL READING | Après moi, le déluge
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
2021: Return of the Leaders
The great malaise of 2021 will be the year of opportunity for leaders to make their mark.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Twilight for the US-UK “Special Relationship”. Then What?
A cool US relationship with the UK means that Commonwealth countries such as Canada, Australia, and New Zealand could also view Washington with a more jaundiced eye, and strengthen, or rebuild, their traditional ties with the UK.