HISTORY
Australia
Key Transitions - 01/2021
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Eurasia's Pivotal Change
Armenia’s brief new war with Azerbaijan changed everything for both states, and for Nagorno-Karabakh, but it also substantially altered the Eurasian balance.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Global Alignments: CANZUK Emerges from the Fog
Less than an empire, more than a commonwealth: a cohesive arrangement of the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand offers new global geopolitical possibilities as perhaps the ultimate maritime power base.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Crisis or Opportunity in the Southern Caucasus?
US legislation would unambiguously recognize that the “illegally occupied” areas of Azerbaijan would include the Nagorno-Karabakh region and seven surrounding districts occupied by Armenia since the early 1990s. This would be a significant political advance for Azerbaijan.
RESOURCES
Russia’s Plans to Dominate Energy
Moscow’s energy strategy plays to Russia’s considerable strengths
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Iran Between Temptation and Desperation
A significant impact is likely on world energy markets over 2020 along with escalation of attacks by Iranian-backed units against US and other targets following the killing of Quds Force Commander Qasem Soleimani.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 12/2018
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 07/2018
SOVEREIGNTY
Cratometamorphosis: Inclusion, Exclusion, Seclusion?
The mounting hysteria over secessionist and sovereignty movements — whether in Catalonia, Scotland, Kurdistan, Turkey, West Papua, or Oromia — should cause political leaders to reflect on the causes of national schisms rather than merely to attempt to suppress them.
CRIME & CORRUPTION
The State of the USA: River of Doubt; Swamp of Despair
It may be that the Washington, DC campaign to isolate, capture, and subdue US Pres. Donald Trump has finally succeeded. If so, what does that mean for the global strategic environment? But does Donald Trump have options to regain control of the situation?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
US Strategic Policy Options in a Post-Obama World
The incoming US Trump Administration has in many ways inherited a poisoned chalice, but, equally, there are many areas where decisive leadership is possible.