STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
US Elections: Everyone is Watching
Strategic Ramifications of the 2016 US Presidential and Congressional Elections
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Turkey’s Putsch: The Broader Context Shows it as a Catalyst
Ankara has placed itself deliberately on an all-or-nothing path which envisages only Turkish strategic dominance, lightly disguised by attempts to diplomatically hold the international community at bay as it prepares its ground.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Turkey’s Trident: Erdoğan’s Moves to Dominate the Black Sea
Any pretense that Turkey is not at war with Russia, or that it does not have strategic ambitions from Western Europe to China, are being dispelled as the Turkish President creates Sunni jihadi groups and military alliances which directly challenge NATO and China.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 04/2016
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Libya’s Gathering and Critical Jihad
What are Libya’s, and the international community’s, options in the face of the Islamic Caliphate’s growing rôle in Libya? The pace of the conflict there has broadened following a “mega-merger” of jihadist groups under the Caliphate’s banner.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 01/2016
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Russia and Turkey: Not War in the Offing, But Something Far More Important
It is now apparent that Russia can no longer ignore the reality that Turkey will remain the major impediment to Russia's control over its strategic ability to escape the containment of geography as well as geopolitics. The question is: what can it do about it, and when?
SOVEREIGNTY
Break-up: The Medium-Term Prospect for Turkey, Saudi Arabia
The break-up of the United Kingdom as a result of Scottish separatism, or the break-up of Spain due to Catalan secessionism, or of Canada: all can be discussed. But a major challenge of the coming decade or so will be whether Turkey and Saudi Arabia can remain intact as states.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
EN CLAIR | Argentine Buy of JF-17s: Implications for the Falklands?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
The Real War: Winning the US Mid-Term Elections
The US White House seemed ready to risk war over Ukraine, and staged an expensive “sound and light” African Summit, all in order to impact the mid-term US Congressional elections, coming up in November 2014.
SOVEREIGNTY
The Ukraine Crisis: The Changing Black Sea Balance, and its Broader Impact
The inevitable return of Crimea to Russia, and the strategic consequences in the Black Sea region, the Caucasus and Northern Tier, for NATO, the Mediterranean, and, well, everywhere ...