AFRICA
The PuYi Syndrome
Washington, the Americas, and the Tragedy of PuYi: How the US awakes and finds itself isolated in its own region.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Global Restructuring: Who’s Listening to the Big Powers?
Mali’s rejection of outside influences spelled a major reverse in Africa for France, the West, and ECOWAS, but it brought no joy for Beijing, or for regional or global governance.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
US-Russia: Do All Major Wars Begin With “Phony Wars”?
It started as an information dominance campaign carried out abroad to distract US voters from the unpopularity of their government, running up to new elections. But it has placed Ukraine in a no-win situation, and has already led to a profound and lasting division in NATO.
AFRICA
EARLY WARNING | Dawn After the End-Cycle of Locusts
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Xi Jinping Weaponizes Covid Against the Chinese People
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 01/2022
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Wars and Rumors of Wars: How the US is Responding to Beijing's New Total War
“And ye shall hear of wars and rumors of wars: see that ye be not troubled: for all these things must come to pass, but the end is not yet.” — Matthew 24:6 in the New Testament.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Jakarta: Balancing, Yet Moving
Indonesia's movement toward greater regional economic and strategic power is showing success, and it is occurring with excruciating care to balance its position between superpowers.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Central Asia's Theater
How the US withdrawal from Afghanistan started a chain which led to Kazakhstan's coup
RESOURCES
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Beijing’s Energy Crisis Hobbles the PRC, and Hurts All
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 12/2021
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Uzbekistan Becomes a Key Eurasian Pivot
Uzbekistan’s presidential election confirmed the nation’s retention of a strong line to cope with the collapse of neighboring Afghanistan. Tashkent is preparing for the storm.