GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Global Trends: Lostpolitik
Germany’s 2021 elections accelerated the leadership vacuum in the European Union and its growing strategic irrelevance, but equally highlighted the tentative rise of a new global power framework …
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 09/2021
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Inertia’s Impact on Strategic Reality
Cyclic trendlines of growth and collapse in societies lead external observers to positions of either unrealistic optimism, unrealistic pessimism, or expectations of unrealistic timescales.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Strategic Gambling of the Blind
The People’s Republic of China fights for survival; Russia surges; the US attempts to rebuild credibility; India sees its great opportunity; other powers are either dazed or prowling …
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The New “Go” Complexity of the Global “Great Game”
The chess-board of Central Asia’s “Great Game” was transformed into the intense complexity of the ancient Chinese game of Go — Weiqi — when the collapse of the latest phase of the eternal Afghan wars sent the consequences virally through global security frameworks.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 08/2021
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The Ardeshir Zahedi Interview: Lessons of Diplomacy for the 21st Century
Few diplomats in the 20th Century were as active or influential as Iran’s Ardeshir Zahedi, who remains active while living — and writing — from exile in Montreux, Switzerland.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Pres. Ebrahim Raisi: A Hard Man in a Strategic Cage
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions - 07/2021
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CLAIR | Ethiopia: Anti-Climax in a Crisis
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The RedMed: War and Decline on the Nile
Ethiopia, facing a myriad of strategic domestic and regional challenges, just bought some breathing space. But time is running out to resolve a half-century’s accretion of corruption, cruelty, mismanagement…and international rivalries.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA