PERSONNEL
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
EN CLAIR | Australia-US and Indonesia
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
And Then, What? Looking Beyond the Urgent
Strategic Planning: The fate of the current and anticipated global balance is being decided. The inevitable “rise of China” is no longer inevitable. It is over. But then?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Why Russia is Still the West’s “Pacing Threat”
Russia gives the West a military standard with which to compete. But it’s more than that.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
War as a (Fatal) Diversion From Reality
Egypt has been in a proxy war with Ethiopia. Ethiopia failed to grasp this, because war would seem fatal for both sides. Then Egypt stepped back from the brink.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | Each Nation Pursued by the Hounds of Hell
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Preparing for the Beijing Dénouement
Does Xi Jinping move outward, inward, or both? And to what effect? And, after that, what?
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 07/2020
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Global Strategy: The Critical “Phony War”
Beijing’s new war against the US and the West could be won or lost before kinetic actions get serious
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Did Beijing Galvanize the Launch of a New Anti-PRC Coalition?
In the US, a Democratic Party presidential election victory by its candidate Biden over Trump in Nov. 2020 would be a victory for the CPC, which might then see US challenges to the PRC once again recede. But, even then, could the CPC recover momentum? Could the US? Trend patterns are being changed.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 06/2020
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Post-COVID-19: Re-Thinking South Africa
If there’s smoke, there must be cigarette smuggling. South Africa, Beijing’s most important African client state, sustains its seemingly-inexorable downward momentum.