STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Proud Suicide of Türkiye
Türkiye, after its Presidential election, enhanced its negotiating position in the Great Game over Central Asia, but in all other metrics entered possible terminal strategic decline.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CLAIR | Türkiye’s Implosion and Isolation From the West
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Elections Which Mark 2023 as a Key Year
The reality is that elections, even in small nation-states, can have global consequences.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Leadership Lessons from the Passing of a King
SOVEREIGNTY
A New Middle East Has Emerged
It is an all-new greater Middle East, and the locals mostly now answer to themselves.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Global Architecture: Xi in Arabia
It was more consequential than Washington realized. But now the battle has been joined.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Türkiye: The Master of Fake Provocations Rises Again
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Alliances: Know When to Fold 'em
We cling to old alliances as we cling to childhood blankets, and treat them just as badly. But do we understand them, and their finite lifespans and purposes?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CLAIR | How Turkey, at the Brink, Fights to Save Its Leader
The Turkish National Intelligence Service is the President’s primary power base.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Global Situation Report: Calm in the Eye of the Storm
China’s communists have now placed their fate, and the fate of China’s unwilling people, firmly in the hands of one man. The probable result is the deliberate implosion of mainland China’s economy, a key catalyst in an already unstable global strategic architecture.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 08/2022
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | While Ukraine Burns, Turkey Ponders a War with Greece
Turkey’s President is now at his most desperate position since he became Prime Minister in 2003, and has a limited timeframe in which to recover his position, either electorally or, due to a national security emergency, before the June 2023 elections.