SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Grand Strategy: Opening Gambits
The set-piece Black Sea confrontation between the Royal Navy and Russia served as a theatrical start of a new era of conflict.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Turkey, Iran, Biden Push Against Impact of Abraham Accords
The Palestinians — the PA and HAMAS — as well as Turkey, Iran, and Qatar had no option but to return to a state of open warfare against Israel if they were to regain the strategic high ground, lost as a result of the 2020 Abraham Accords.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Jordan’s Fragility in a Fragile Zone
The Eastern Mediterranean-Red Sea strategic nexus is operating in a balance of weakness, and the Hashemite Kingdom is vulnerable.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 03/2021
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Libya: Working to a Doomed Solution
Why are there no real Libyan interests in the proposed Libyan solution?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Strategic Frameworks: How Sovereignty Evolves
The concept of the “Westphalian state” — the modern nation-state — has been evolving since 1648, but will we soon see a significant new way in which nationalism and sovereignty are perceived and structured? Somehow, the nation-state does not seem set to disappear.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
2021: Return of the Leaders
The great malaise of 2021 will be the year of opportunity for leaders to make their mark.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
The US and the World: In With the Old; Out with the New
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 10/2020
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Can Erdogan’s “Conflict in All Directions” Strategy Work?
Turkey seems to be at war on all fronts, particularly with its nominal allies. How can that work?
Australia
ESSENTIAL READING | Over the Beach Again
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
War as a (Fatal) Diversion From Reality
Egypt has been in a proxy war with Ethiopia. Ethiopia failed to grasp this, because war would seem fatal for both sides. Then Egypt stepped back from the brink.