DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The Middle East Returns to Itself?
And how the Trump-Sisi summit marked a significant further decline in Washington’s influence in the region.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Trump Iran Decision: Yes, But What Does It Really Mean?
US Pres. Donald Trump’s move to pull the US out of the Iran nuclear pact was anticipated, and dire forecasts proliferated as to the impact of such a move. But what, in the end, does it really mean? The pact had not led to a real opening between Iran and the West.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
EN CLAIR | Broader Ramifications of the Arab States’ Rift with Qatar
AFRICA
EN CLAIR | Turkey’s Referendum is Transformative for Eurasia, Middle East
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Turkey’s Putsch: The Broader Context Shows it as a Catalyst
Ankara has placed itself deliberately on an all-or-nothing path which envisages only Turkish strategic dominance, lightly disguised by attempts to diplomatically hold the international community at bay as it prepares its ground.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Libya’s Gathering and Critical Jihad
What are Libya’s, and the international community’s, options in the face of the Islamic Caliphate’s growing rôle in Libya? The pace of the conflict there has broadened following a “mega-merger” of jihadist groups under the Caliphate’s banner.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Weak Point: Boko Haram's Use of Stimulant Drugs
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Shifting Sands Under the Turkey-Israel Rapprochement
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Now Can Cyrus and Darius Be Recalled - The Persians, Not the Clerics, Begin to Revive
The July 14, 2015, major power accord with Iran was portrayed as the deliverance of the laws of the international community upon Iran. But it has delivered more consequences than any of the parties could have considered.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The End of the Arab-Israeli War, But Not the Fighting
It is possible to see that the “Arab-Israeli war” will only be sustained in that name by propaganda: the reality is that possibly only one Arab state — Qatar — is committed fully to the war, while HAMAS in the Palestinian Authority is also implacable.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Libya: Key to the Caliphate Thrust Against Egypt, the Maghreb States, and Africa
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE