STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Indonesia’s Difficult Maneuver Toward Strategic Breakout
A staff estimate on a topic of current importance
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Critical Infrastructure: Taking the Heart Out of the Heartland
Today, strategic infrastructure is vulnerable to all threats. Gaining control of populations may be the first goal of 21st Century total war before hostilities begin, but destroying enemy infrastructure is the first goal once shots are fired, or e-fired.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Nigeria Teeters on the Edge
Insurgency has splintered and spread. Now civilians are becoming State targets.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
2021: Return of the Leaders
The great malaise of 2021 will be the year of opportunity for leaders to make their mark.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Twilight for the US-UK “Special Relationship”. Then What?
A cool US relationship with the UK means that Commonwealth countries such as Canada, Australia, and New Zealand could also view Washington with a more jaundiced eye, and strengthen, or rebuild, their traditional ties with the UK.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Long and Short of Ethiopia's Current Wars
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
The US and the World: In With the Old; Out with the New
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Has the EU Brexit Negotiating Style Doomed the EU Itself?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EARLY WARNING | The Global Watershed of the US Elections
CRIME & CORRUPTION
Terror and Crime: The Indissoluble Marriage’s Second Honeymoon
Contact and cooperation between militant groups and organized crime — an historical match of illegals — has flourished since the early 1990s, eroding political stability around the world.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Amphibious Operations in a New Era of Offensive Total War
The world has begun its move back to an era of offensive warfare after some seven decades of defensive strategic thinking. One of the sharp points of power projection is expeditionary warfare, so a new era of amphibious warfare thinking must now occur.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | The Central Asian Bloc Galvanizes Rapidly at a Critical Time
Pakistan is the best option for Central Asia to get workable Indian Ocean ports, at Karachi and Gwadar. But this may be enough to trigger India into moving forward with its planned war against Pakistan-held Azad Kashmir.