DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The Middle East: Abraham Changes Strategic Realities
A changed Middle East has emerged from the Abraham Accord. Who is ready?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
2021: Return of the Leaders
The great malaise of 2021 will be the year of opportunity for leaders to make their mark.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Have US Sanctions Created the Basis for a Strong Iran-PRC-Russia Bloc?
The burgeoning Moscow-Beijing-Tehran friendship spells a weakening of the impact of US sanctions. Tehran’s relief from sanctions in the short-term could lead indirectly to the PRC’s long-term control over Iranian ports and the Strait of Hormuz, cementing Beijing’s footprint in the region.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Sound Reasons For the UK's “Back to the Future” Posture
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Eurasia's Pivotal Change
Armenia’s brief new war with Azerbaijan changed everything for both states, and for Nagorno-Karabakh, but it also substantially altered the Eurasian balance.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Long and Short of Ethiopia's Current Wars
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Ethiopia's Decisive War
Homer, almost 3,000 years ago, noted in the Iliad that Zeus, King of the Gods on Mount Olympus, went “to feast with the Æthiopians, loyal, lordly men, and all of the gods went with him”. Are the Gods still with the Ethiopians?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
The US and the World: In With the Old; Out with the New
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Has the EU Brexit Negotiating Style Doomed the EU Itself?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EARLY WARNING | The Global Watershed of the US Elections
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Turkey and Russia Inch Closer to Conflict Over Gas Lines
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR