CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Nigeria: Will Jonathan Win?
The first significant signs have begun to emerge that the February 14, 2015, Nigerian elections may remove Pres. Goodluck Jonathan. But that depends on whether they actually occur. What happens if they do not? None of the options for stability are good.
ASIA
The US and the Northern Tier: Iran Ascendant?
US Pres. Barack Obama’s removal of Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel and the failure thus far on talks with Iran seem likely to compound US strategic challenges in the coming two years. What is significant is that the issue is not really about nuclear weapons; it is about Iran’s strategic growth.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Strategic Policy: Sanctions Busting
Do sanctions work, or do they exacerbate conflict, in a multi-polar strategic environment? And who suffers most? Could it be the sanctioning states? French Pres. Hollande succumbed — at least temporarily — to US pressure on delivery of Mistral ships to Russia, which pays the price.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | The Saudi Leadership Transition: Why it is Critical
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Health Issues Highlight the Vital Rôle of the Sultan of Oman
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
ESSENTIAL READING | The Next Big Thing
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | Turkey’s Kurdish Truce Ends; War Resumes on Assad
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Souda Bay: Again Vital in the Eastern Med.
As Turkey slips in terms of NATO reliability, planners look at changing threat and access patterns in the Eastern Mediterranean and Levant.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Cyber Warfare: The Economical Weapon at Strategic and Tactical Levels
… which only a few smaller powers are using effectively
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Turkey: At the Point of No Return
Turkey’s leader has unveiled himself to claim sole authority. Where does he go from here?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
The Real War: Winning the US Mid-Term Elections
The US White House seemed ready to risk war over Ukraine, and staged an expensive “sound and light” African Summit, all in order to impact the mid-term US Congressional elections, coming up in November 2014.