SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | The “Khorasan Pledge” and Sunni Jihadist Rivalry
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Ukraine: A New Blackness on the Black Sea
The US Obama Administration’s handling of the MH-17 disaster in Ukraine risks dragging the US’ allies into an irreversible strategic posture.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Africa Transforms, But Confused US Policies Push it Toward China
The US Obama White House seeks to retain Western influence over Africa — partially through its Africa Leaders Summit — while ceding strategic “authority” to France. But the plan has backfired, giving strategic opportunity to China, and opening the gates to African change.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
EARLY WARNING | How Societies Cope: Through New Allegiances
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
ESSENTIAL READING | Future Imperfect
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Middle East: The Khorasan Pledge
How the Great Intra-Muslim War Now Underway Could Re-Shape Much of the Middle East
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Saudi Arabia Seeks New Course After Rift With Washington
Indicators of emerging patterns of global significance
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Australia Faces Hard Economic Security Decisions
CRIME & CORRUPTION
EN CLAIR | Rise in Clandestine Use of Counterfeit US$100 Bills
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CLAIR | India Seems on a Path to Vote for an End to its Malaise
SOVEREIGNTY
The Ukraine Crisis: The Changing Black Sea Balance, and its Broader Impact
The inevitable return of Crimea to Russia, and the strategic consequences in the Black Sea region, the Caucasus and Northern Tier, for NATO, the Mediterranean, and, well, everywhere ...