STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
Iran
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Egypt Stares Open-Eyed into its Future, and It May Not Be All Bad
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Middle East Drifts Back to Its Roots
Fragility of the modern Middle Eastern state system reflects a return to reliance on traditional societies. The minorities’ genie is out of the lantern throughout the entire greater Middle East.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
EARLY WARNING | Civilization Wanders from Its Path, and is Lost
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 07/2013
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Egypt: Why the Ikhwan Has Not Lost in Egypt, and Why the Challenge is Just Beginning
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Egypt Attempts to Control its Destiny
The Egyptian decision to remove Pres. Morsi was demonstrably no less “democratic” than the decision to remove Pres. Mubarak, but the latest events showed that the US could no longer determine outcomes in the region ...
RESOURCES
Sudan and South Sudan: Getting South Sudan’s Oil Flowing
Diplomatic failure by South Sudan’s Vice-Pres. Machar when he was sent to negotiate with Sudan in fact cut South Sudan’s oil exports. But Machar then began to exploit his own failure as part of a campaign to seize power at home.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Africa and Iran: Iran and Sudan Begin Moves to Dominate Central and Western Africa
The Central African Republic has become a key player, working under Sudanese and Iranian direction, in jihadist action, geared to take advantage of the West’s declining influence in Western and Central Africa, even if it challenges the interests of Iran’s and Sudan’s traditional ally, the People’s…
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Former Iranian Foreign Minister Zahedi Honored
A tribute.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The Syrian War: The View from Moscow
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Victory in Syria: But For Whom?
The US White House, under President Barack Obama, was, by the end of May 2013, considering how to begin more direct engagement in the fighting inside Syria.