GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Defining Governance in Times of Strategic Instability
Do we even understand the four terms which will guide our command over the future: Sovereignty, Democracy, Monarchy, Republic?
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Iran and the Magical Theater of Nuclear Weapons
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
ESSENTIAL READING | A Unilateral Weapon
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | Sri Lanka and the Start of a Starvation Pandemic
Poor governmental decisions are leading to starvation…and public retaliation.
AFRICA
EN CLAIR | Hope in Ethiopia?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
AUKUS: Key Western Alliance for the Coming Decades? And Why it Could Fail
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Immediate Strategic Consequences of the Ukraine War
Algeria
Air Power Lessons: Evaluating the Ongoing Air Campaign Over Ukraine
It is clear that, well into the Russia-Ukraine war, Moscow’s combat air operations, and Russia’s doctrine and objectives, were not yet understood by Western professional observers.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Initial Strategic Lessons of the Russia-Ukraine War
Anything your adversary (a) wants you to do, (b) goads you to do, (c) offers to you as a gift, or (c) says you will do is almost certainly something you do not want to do. The Ukraine conflict was, by April 2022, offering a wide range of strategic, actical, and technological lessons.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | Ethiopians Have “Become Lost”: What’s Next?
Could a military intervention be the only answer if the system becomes more stressed, and external pressures threaten the break-up of Ethiopia?
RESOURCES
How the Ukraine War Has Saved Communist China
Beijing finally has the chance to throw off some of its dependency on US food supplies, giving it an enormous new lease of strategic freedom.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Surviving the First Shot
It is said that no plan of campaign survives beyond the first shot fired. But, in the case of the Russia-Ukraine military campaign of February-March 2022, and — most importantly — all that contrived to its beginning, some trends and lessons are already visible.