PERSONNEL
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
ESSENTIAL READING | Zero-Day
AFRICA
The PuYi Syndrome
Washington, the Americas, and the Tragedy of PuYi: How the US awakes and finds itself isolated in its own region.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Washington's Stumbling War Against Ethiopia
How the US plunges into the defeat of its own and Western interests in the Horn of Africa
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Persistent Intervention: The Kremlin’s Influence Operations in Ukraine
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
EARLY WARNING | The Saga of the Zahedis
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CLAIR | Return of Free-Form Strategic Dynamics in the Middle East, Northern Tier, and Africa
Coups, as a form of “regime change”, are once again “permissible” in the greater Middle East and Africa as out-of-region powers lose traction. But then what?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Beijing, Moscow, Ankara Push US Out of Red Sea Dominance
State Dept. sources admit privately that they were using the same playbook against Ethiopia as they used during the US Clinton Administration against Serbia in the 1990s to break up Yugoslavia and Serbia.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 09/2021
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Inertia’s Impact on Strategic Reality
Cyclic trendlines of growth and collapse in societies lead external observers to positions of either unrealistic optimism, unrealistic pessimism, or expectations of unrealistic timescales.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Strategic Gambling of the Blind
The People’s Republic of China fights for survival; Russia surges; the US attempts to rebuild credibility; India sees its great opportunity; other powers are either dazed or prowling …
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The New “Go” Complexity of the Global “Great Game”
The chess-board of Central Asia’s “Great Game” was transformed into the intense complexity of the ancient Chinese game of Go — Weiqi — when the collapse of the latest phase of the eternal Afghan wars sent the consequences virally through global security frameworks.