PERSONNEL
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Turkey’s Trident: Erdoğan’s Moves to Dominate the Black Sea
Any pretense that Turkey is not at war with Russia, or that it does not have strategic ambitions from Western Europe to China, are being dispelled as the Turkish President creates Sunni jihadi groups and military alliances which directly challenge NATO and China.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Strategic Trajectories of Change in Iran and Saudi
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Terrorism: The Jihad Escalates In Europe
But it’s not necessarily driven just by DI’ISH, the Islamic State. It has its core within Europe.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Terrain in the Turkey-Kurdish War
The Kurds are a key element in the current Syria-Turkey conflict, but remain little understood by international observers, with regard to their areas of diversity and unity. Here are some of the factors.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Libya’s Gathering and Critical Jihad
What are Libya’s, and the international community’s, options in the face of the Islamic Caliphate’s growing rôle in Libya? The pace of the conflict there has broadened following a “mega-merger” of jihadist groups under the Caliphate’s banner.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Turkey: Poised at the Abyss
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Libya at a Potential Tipping Point, Against the Jihadists
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Turkey’s Gamble to Save Itself
Turkey considers direct military confrontation in Syria as Ankara stares strategic defeat in the face.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The RedMed: All Change, Again, on the Red Sea
The People’s Republic of China begins its Djibouti troop deployment as base construction accelerates; meanwhile, Djibouti builds on its rapprochement with Riyadh.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Libya as a DI’ISH Target: Broad Regional Ramifications
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Syria, Russia Dossier: Russia’s War Against DI’ISH
How Russia has planned and executed its expanded war against DI’ISH and the jihadist movements in Syria, and how Turkey and the US have been responding.