STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | 2010: The Short-Term Strategic Outlook
An estimate of an area of key current significance
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Kurdistan May Yet Challenge Iran
Iran has succeeded as the midwife in dividing Iraq, but the growing power and autonomy of Iraqi Kurdistan may yet backfire on Tehran, and the US.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Complexity: the Yemen Fixation - Craving Clarity
Media, and political, hysteria over Yemen obfuscates a broader, deeper strategic matrix of long-term importance. Is the Western demand for simplicity, and the refusal to embrace complex context, at the core of Western strategic failure?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Global Strategic Trends: Options in the Indian Ocean Century
How do nations move, “post-Afghanistan”, post-superpowers, and in the Indian Ocean Century?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EARLY WARNING | Re-Thinking the Art of Military Planning
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Eurasia: A Byzantine Arabesque?
Embrace the Complexity of the Caucasus, the Middle East, and Central, South, and East Asia — and the Impact of Western or Asian Economic-Political Trends — or Miss the Plot
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The 1992 Outlook: A New Era of Conflict
This study, by Gregory Copley, appeared in Defense & Foreign Affairs in May 1992. It noted, in that 1992 report, that contradictory trends and the revival of history as a strategic factor were among the significant indicators of the new era of global conflict then beginning.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Replacing Ahmadi-Nejad
Iran’s Clerical Leadership, Recovering from Ahmadi-Nejad’s Assault on it, Moves to Find a Replacement President
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Middle East: A Spy Story
The Pivotal Rôle of Abu-Abdallah al-Muhajer in Shaping a New Phase in the Palestinian and Anti-Israeli Conflicts
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
ESSENTIAL READING | Fighting Right
Important New Strategic Literature
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Whither Japan?
Electoral Change, But the Inevitability of Strategic Decline Appears to Prevail
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY