DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The Middle East Returns to Itself?
And how the Trump-Sisi summit marked a significant further decline in Washington’s influence in the region.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
A New “Middle Eastern Entente” Shakes Moscow and Washington
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Ethiopia’s Naval Revival Has Global Ramifications
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 01/2019
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Yemen, the Unnecessary War
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Why the Changes in eSwatini Should Be of Strategic Interest
Indicators of emerging patterns of global significance
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Iran Maneuvers to Face Internal, External Challenges
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Greater Syria: Can Wishing Make It So?
Historical fatalism, water and food shortages, and jihadism conspire to set the stage for a major conflict escalation based on “Greater Syria”. It is already underway.
Afghanistan
The Triumph of Belief: Persian Cæsar?
Not just Iran’s Cæsar abroad, Major-General Qasem Soleimani is finally being recognized as Iran’s “Man on Horseback”.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Triumph of Belief: Red Sea Rising
The Red Sea is emerging as a key global strategic dynamic thanks to a revolution begun in Ethiopia. The transformation moves back to a 3,000-year-old pattern, and is far from done.
SOVEREIGNTY
On the Matter of Constitutional and Institutional Choice
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Breaking Stalemates: Current Context
There is no doubt that Iran and North Korea have capable nuclear weapons systems and the means to deliver them. This has created in their leaderships a new-found confidence, which has been expressed in recent actions.