HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Cyber Warfare: The Economical Weapon at Strategic and Tactical Levels
… which only a few smaller powers are using effectively
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Turkey: At the Point of No Return
Turkey’s leader has unveiled himself to claim sole authority. Where does he go from here?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
The Real War: Winning the US Mid-Term Elections
The US White House seemed ready to risk war over Ukraine, and staged an expensive “sound and light” African Summit, all in order to impact the mid-term US Congressional elections, coming up in November 2014.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EARLY WARNING | Why the Islamic Caliphate May Presage Change
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Ukraine: A New Blackness on the Black Sea
The US Obama Administration’s handling of the MH-17 disaster in Ukraine risks dragging the US’ allies into an irreversible strategic posture.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Africa Transforms, But Confused US Policies Push it Toward China
The US Obama White House seeks to retain Western influence over Africa — partially through its Africa Leaders Summit — while ceding strategic “authority” to France. But the plan has backfired, giving strategic opportunity to China, and opening the gates to African change.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
EARLY WARNING | How Societies Cope: Through New Allegiances
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Middle East: The Khorasan Pledge
How the Great Intra-Muslim War Now Underway Could Re-Shape Much of the Middle East
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Strategic Trajectories: Saudi Arabia Seeks New Course After Rift With Washington
Indicators of emerging patterns of global significance
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EARLY WARNING | Change, or Die? Competing in New Eras
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Australia Faces Hard Economic Security Decisions
SOVEREIGNTY
The Ukraine Crisis: The Changing Black Sea Balance, and its Broader Impact
The inevitable return of Crimea to Russia, and the strategic consequences in the Black Sea region, the Caucasus and Northern Tier, for NATO, the Mediterranean, and, well, everywhere ...