DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The Middle East: Abraham Changes Strategic Realities
A changed Middle East has emerged from the Abraham Accord. Who is ready?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
2021: Return of the Leaders
The great malaise of 2021 will be the year of opportunity for leaders to make their mark.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Have US Sanctions Created the Basis for a Strong Iran-PRC-Russia Bloc?
The burgeoning Moscow-Beijing-Tehran friendship spells a weakening of the impact of US sanctions. Tehran’s relief from sanctions in the short-term could lead indirectly to the PRC’s long-term control over Iranian ports and the Strait of Hormuz, cementing Beijing’s footprint in the region.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Eurasia's Pivotal Change
Armenia’s brief new war with Azerbaijan changed everything for both states, and for Nagorno-Karabakh, but it also substantially altered the Eurasian balance.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Long and Short of Ethiopia's Current Wars
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
The US and the World: In With the Old; Out with the New
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Has the EU Brexit Negotiating Style Doomed the EU Itself?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Turkey and Russia Inch Closer to Conflict Over Gas Lines
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
ESSENTIAL READING | Targeted Killing
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | The “Abraham Accords” Put the US Back into the Middle East, But...
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | The Central Asian Bloc Galvanizes Rapidly at a Critical Time
Pakistan is the best option for Central Asia to get workable Indian Ocean ports, at Karachi and Gwadar. But this may be enough to trigger India into moving forward with its planned war against Pakistan-held Azad Kashmir.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Can Erdogan’s “Conflict in All Directions” Strategy Work?
Turkey seems to be at war on all fronts, particularly with its nominal allies. How can that work?