SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Grand Strategy: Opening Gambits
The set-piece Black Sea confrontation between the Royal Navy and Russia served as a theatrical start of a new era of conflict.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 03/2021
HISTORY
Strategic Frameworks: The World After Westphalia
Global cyclical change led to a gradual shift from monarchies and empires to republics in the late 19th and early 20th centuries. But the cyclical age of “democratic republics” is now itself passing, as the world moves again from defensive to offensive posturing.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 02/2021
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EARLY WARNING | Dead Men Walking. Dead Man Waking
CRIME & CORRUPTION
Terror and Crime: The Indissoluble Marriage’s Second Honeymoon
Contact and cooperation between militant groups and organized crime — an historical match of illegals — has flourished since the early 1990s, eroding political stability around the world.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Amphibious Operations in a New Era of Offensive Total War
The world has begun its move back to an era of offensive warfare after some seven decades of defensive strategic thinking. One of the sharp points of power projection is expeditionary warfare, so a new era of amphibious warfare thinking must now occur.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
War as a (Fatal) Diversion From Reality
Egypt has been in a proxy war with Ethiopia. Ethiopia failed to grasp this, because war would seem fatal for both sides. Then Egypt stepped back from the brink.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Crisis or Opportunity in the Southern Caucasus?
US legislation would unambiguously recognize that the “illegally occupied” areas of Azerbaijan would include the Nagorno-Karabakh region and seven surrounding districts occupied by Armenia since the early 1990s. This would be a significant political advance for Azerbaijan.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Global Strategy: The Critical “Phony War”
Beijing’s new war against the US and the West could be won or lost before kinetic actions get serious
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CLAIR | Iran May Have Reached a Strategic Plateau with Soleimani’s Death
PERSONNEL