SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Is Erdoğan Pushing for Conflict to Galvanize Turkey?
SOVEREIGNTY
Cratometamorphosis: Inclusion, Exclusion, Seclusion?
The mounting hysteria over secessionist and sovereignty movements — whether in Catalonia, Scotland, Kurdistan, Turkey, West Papua, or Oromia — should cause political leaders to reflect on the causes of national schisms rather than merely to attempt to suppress them.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Governance Republic Versus Crown: Competition or Convergence?
A debate is emerging, for the first time in more than a century, over forms of governance. Is it a choice between “republic” and “monarchy”? Or something more? Are “crowned republics” an answer?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
EN CLAIR | The First Open Challenge of the Trump Era: Serbia and Kosovo?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Cock-Crow of Strategic Change
The Year of the Rooster may be the cock-crow of the dawn of a new strategic cycle.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
US Strategic Policy Options in a Post-Obama World
The incoming US Trump Administration has in many ways inherited a poisoned chalice, but, equally, there are many areas where decisive leadership is possible.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Turkey’s Trident: Erdoğan’s Moves to Dominate the Black Sea
Any pretense that Turkey is not at war with Russia, or that it does not have strategic ambitions from Western Europe to China, are being dispelled as the Turkish President creates Sunni jihadi groups and military alliances which directly challenge NATO and China.
SOVEREIGNTY
EARLY WARNING | Brexit Lessons for Strategists
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Terrorism: The Jihad Escalates In Europe
But it’s not necessarily driven just by DI’ISH, the Islamic State. It has its core within Europe.
SOVEREIGNTY
Break-up: The Medium-Term Prospect for Turkey, Saudi Arabia
The break-up of the United Kingdom as a result of Scottish separatism, or the break-up of Spain due to Catalan secessionism, or of Canada: all can be discussed. But a major challenge of the coming decade or so will be whether Turkey and Saudi Arabia can remain intact as states.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR