PERSONNEL
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
CURRENT ESTIMATE | African Union Faces Security Challenges, But Aims for Economic Integration
An Estimate of an area of key current significance
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Africa: Mali, Nigeria, and the Bigger Picture
The Mali War will be neither simple nor quick, ‘though the players all wish it so.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Ain Amenas Incident: Algerie l’Implacable?
The hostage-taking affair at the Ain Amenas natural gas plant showed the Algerian Government as less than a cooperative player in security matters, while breathing new life into the salafist movement.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Mali: Center Stage
The international community finally began addressing the issue of Islamist fighters in Mali. This provided an opportunity for Nigeria, in particular, to rebuild its own security and political stability. But there was still no guarantee that the opportunity would be grasped.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 01/2012
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Terrorism and Geopolitics: The Release of Abu-Musab al-Suri
How the release from a Syrian prison of perhaps the most important jihadist ideologues reflects a delicate interplay between Iran, Syria, and the Sunni jihadist forces from Qatar, Turkey, Palestine, and Saudi Arabia.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Strategic Affairs: No Contest
The US-Iran-Israel Stand-Off: No Conflict in Sight; But for the US, No Success for Embargoes; No Ability to Constrain Nuclear Weapons. The Real War is Between Iran and Turkey.