GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Afghanistan
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Beijing, Tehran: Suzerainty, New Colonialism, and Crime
SOVEREIGNTY
On the Matter of Constitutional and Institutional Choice
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Breaking Stalemates: Current Context
There is no doubt that Iran and North Korea have capable nuclear weapons systems and the means to deliver them. This has created in their leaderships a new-found confidence, which has been expressed in recent actions.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Breaking Stalemates: Israel-Syria
Thoughts on the evolution and near-term impact of nuclear stalemates between the West and “rogue” states as the US withdraws from the “nuclear deal” with Iran. First, the historical lessons learned from the Israeli confrontation of Syria over its nuclear weapons program.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CLAIR | Nigeria’s Political Processes Grind Toward Change in 2018-19
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Ankara and Abuja: Dancing Around Terrorism Issues
SOVEREIGNTY
Cratometamorphosis: Inclusion, Exclusion, Seclusion?
The mounting hysteria over secessionist and sovereignty movements — whether in Catalonia, Scotland, Kurdistan, Turkey, West Papua, or Oromia — should cause political leaders to reflect on the causes of national schisms rather than merely to attempt to suppress them.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | The Race: Snatching Victory from the Jaws of Defeat
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Why Turkey’s Old Allies Delay Acknowledging Reality
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Africa’s Significant Rôle in Beijing’s Global Strategy
Africa has assumed a central rôle in the strategy of the PRC, and promises to become — through China’s portion of the Silk Road — integral to Beijing’s future.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Using Icons to Change Outcomes
Preventing conflict and dissension in Ethiopia may be more about prestige than power