STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Assessing Long-Term Threats and Trends
The most important, least invested, security priority
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Invisible War: How Conflict in Ethiopia Has Global Consequences
Could a confederation between Ethiopia and Eritrea resolve Red Sea security issues?
HISTORY
Geography: We Are Where We Are
Geography is patently a critical factor in strategic thinking, not just because of the physical limitations and possibilities it unveils, but because of the psychological impact of geography upon its inhabitants.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Agitprop Always Drives the Momentum Toward Strategic Ends
Agitprop ops are part of the psychological warfare spectrum, and part of the terrorism framework insomuch as they are intended to push public opinion toward a mass psychosis of fear, malleable to the responses needed by the perpetrator. But are Europeans “crying wolf” too much for their own good?
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
EARLY WARNING | The Tumult and the Shouting Destroy, Without Armies
US President Donald Trump now is fighting some of his adversaries using their own tools in the non-kinetic sphere.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Élites as an Informal Influence on Society
Élites of all types exert influence on society, and therefore on government and policy. In a period of disruption, such as now, can we expect — and do we need — the stabilizing resurrection of traditionally-respected figures of influence to calm the transition?
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Power Projection: The Magic Seven Ideas
The importance of knowing how to behave intelligently.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
The Reactive Fear Against Nationalism
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EARLY WARNING | Escaping the Strategic Impact of the Fevered Brain
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Piercing the Veil of the CCP’s PsyOps Creation of “Great China”
The “West”, at a critical time in a transforming global environment, is failing at leadership levels to grasp how best to deal with the People’s Republic of China (PRC) because it is still captive to Beijing-propagated myths of PRC strengths.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
EARLY WARNING | Addictive Lunacy: Symptom of Democracy’s Sclerosis
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Prestige: Decider of Wars
More critical than the “correlation of forces” is the balance of prestige in “an ignoble world”.