SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
The US and the World: In With the Old; Out with the New
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Turkey and Russia Inch Closer to Conflict Over Gas Lines
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The New Total War: Decisive Battle, Decisive War
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
EARLY WARNING | PsyStrat: Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Amorphous Warfare: Genocide is Alive and Well in Africa
The Oromo war against Ethiopian nationalists and ethnic Amhara peoples is driven by small extremist groups, supported by foreign governments. But it is virulent and gaining traction. Moreover, its impact is strategic.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
China: The Song Has Ended, But the Malady Lingers On
Xi Jinping’s powers were re-affirmed, apparently, at the recent Beidaihe retreat, but the challenges to him and the Communist Party have not receded.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
EARLY WARNING | The Strategic Weaponization of Lying
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 08/2020
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Long, Troubled, and Unfinished Saga of Sino-Russian Relations
Beijing is under massive pressure from a failing economy, a society disrupted by coronavirus, and massive natural disasters. Why would it pick a fight at this particular time with Russia over long-standing mutual territorial claims?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
War as a (Fatal) Diversion From Reality
Egypt has been in a proxy war with Ethiopia. Ethiopia failed to grasp this, because war would seem fatal for both sides. Then Egypt stepped back from the brink.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
The New Global Re-Education Camp
The Strategic Impact of the Transformation of Education and the Education Industry