SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Turkey’s revised policy for the Eastern Mediterranean and the Middle East is based on expanding its illegal occupation of Cyprus to dominate the entire island and the region. It is upgrading capabilities accordingly.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
A significant impact is likely on world energy markets over 2020 along with escalation of attacks by Iranian-backed units against US and other targets following the killing of Quds Force Commander Qasem Soleimani.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Central Asian states may finally find cohesion … and warm water ports in the Indian Ocean.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Britain, post-Brexit, can become the cornerstone of a new, global NATO, even as the UK-EU trade relationship is being settled. In the meantime, US and Commonwealth links can substantially bolster NATO’s probable Indo-Pacific mission, while also contributing to a revived UK trading pattern.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
SOVEREIGNTY
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Iran now considers war against Israel to be feasible and winnable…and Israel responds
SOVEREIGNTY
Many Australians believe that their nation is caught in a wedge between the People’s Republic of China, its biggest trading partner, and the United States, its security ally and biggest investor. But is it? And what are the choices now open to sovereign states as the new global architecture emerges?
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
PERSONNEL
SOVEREIGNTY
A new strategic framework is possible in which the US could regain some leverage in the Balkans and Eastern Mediterranean. And it could see a resolution of the Kosovo problem which has dogged US credibility in the region since 2008.