SOVEREIGNTY
A New Middle East Has Emerged
It is an all-new greater Middle East, and the locals mostly now answer to themselves.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Global Architecture: Xi in Arabia
It was more consequential than Washington realized. But now the battle has been joined.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Iran: Death Before Disorder
Iran's clerics are suppressing protests with unprecedented vigor. But then what?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The New China Sea
Beijing is now strategically dominating the Caribbean Basin. Washington remains quiet.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CLAIR | How Turkey, at the Brink, Fights to Save Its Leader
The Turkish National Intelligence Service is the President’s primary power base.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Global Situation Report: Calm in the Eye of the Storm
China’s communists have now placed their fate, and the fate of China’s unwilling people, firmly in the hands of one man. The probable result is the deliberate implosion of mainland China’s economy, a key catalyst in an already unstable global strategic architecture.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Moving to the Major Phase of the PRC’s “New Civil War”
The civil war within the party moves into a new phase of suppression of Xi’s opponents and the broader public. The damage to the international economy will be immense. The cost to the Chinese people will be immeasurably more severe.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | The Ceremonial Decapitation of a Dead Terrorist
Al-Qaida’s revival must be considered unlikely. The very expensive assassination of Dr al-Zawahiri must be considered nostalgic strategic tokenism. It didn’t alter the strategic equation at all.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
ESSENTIAL READING | A Unilateral Weapon
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Immediate Strategic Consequences of the Ukraine War
Algeria
Air Power Lessons: Evaluating the Ongoing Air Campaign Over Ukraine
It is clear that, well into the Russia-Ukraine war, Moscow’s combat air operations, and Russia’s doctrine and objectives, were not yet understood by Western professional observers.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CALIR | The End of “Business as Usual”
The Ukraine war has helped crystallize a confluence of negative strategic trends.