STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Inertia’s Impact on Strategic Reality
Cyclic trendlines of growth and collapse in societies lead external observers to positions of either unrealistic optimism, unrealistic pessimism, or expectations of unrealistic timescales.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The New “Go” Complexity of the Global “Great Game”
The chess-board of Central Asia’s “Great Game” was transformed into the intense complexity of the ancient Chinese game of Go — Weiqi — when the collapse of the latest phase of the eternal Afghan wars sent the consequences virally through global security frameworks.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Afghanistan’s Centrality to the PRC, Russia, and India
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
ESSENTIAL READING | On Intimate Terms With History
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The Ardeshir Zahedi Interview: Lessons of Diplomacy for the 21st Century
Few diplomats in the 20th Century were as active or influential as Iran’s Ardeshir Zahedi, who remains active while living — and writing — from exile in Montreux, Switzerland.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Pres. Ebrahim Raisi: A Hard Man in a Strategic Cage
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
ESSENTIAL READING | Cold War Redux?
Important New Strategic Literature
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Grand Strategy: Opening Gambits
The set-piece Black Sea confrontation between the Royal Navy and Russia served as a theatrical start of a new era of conflict.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 06/2021
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Ethiopia Revives as a Red Sea Power
Put aside age-old conflict-driving myths, and opportunities abound.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Test: How Washington Reacts Determines How the World Moves
And, in a unique period of change, the new US Administration is operating from old strategic perceptions, even as it adopts new technology and doctrine