PERSONNEL
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Global Restructuring: Who’s Listening to the Big Powers?
Mali’s rejection of outside influences spelled a major reverse in Africa for France, the West, and ECOWAS, but it brought no joy for Beijing, or for regional or global governance.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 01/2022
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
In Memoriam: Losing a Part of Oneself
Yossef Bodansky, a uniquely talented and courageous strategic thinker, leaves us
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Persistent Intervention: The Kremlin’s Influence Operations in Ukraine
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Talking Itself Into War: Algeria’s Answer to its fin d’ère?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CLAIR | Return of Free-Form Strategic Dynamics in the Middle East, Northern Tier, and Africa
Coups, as a form of “regime change”, are once again “permissible” in the greater Middle East and Africa as out-of-region powers lose traction. But then what?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Global Trends: Lostpolitik
Germany’s 2021 elections accelerated the leadership vacuum in the European Union and its growing strategic irrelevance, but equally highlighted the tentative rise of a new global power framework …
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | We Have Met the Enemy…
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Inertia’s Impact on Strategic Reality
Cyclic trendlines of growth and collapse in societies lead external observers to positions of either unrealistic optimism, unrealistic pessimism, or expectations of unrealistic timescales.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The New “Go” Complexity of the Global “Great Game”
The chess-board of Central Asia’s “Great Game” was transformed into the intense complexity of the ancient Chinese game of Go — Weiqi — when the collapse of the latest phase of the eternal Afghan wars sent the consequences virally through global security frameworks.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE