DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The Middle East Returns to Itself?
And how the Trump-Sisi summit marked a significant further decline in Washington’s influence in the region.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Moving Beyond Strategic Distractions
The deep and intractable humanitarian morass of the Yemen conflict has diverted attention away from the broader strategic framework, with serious consequences.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
A New “Middle Eastern Entente” Shakes Moscow and Washington
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
How the Great US Schism Affects Global Affairs
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Changes in the Indian Ocean at the Core of the “New Balance”
Could the UK soon lose sovereignty over Diego Garcia? If so, the US would lose another key base in the Indo-Pacific. And how are Oman and Qatar planning for the future? Could the US even project force again into a major Afghan operation, or into Iraq?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
On Which Our Fates Depend
Are the 2 emerging global pillars more at risk from themselves than from each other? Are we seeing the re-emergence of the world division into the maritime states versus the heartland powers? Could the PRC become the first true global heartland/maritime power? What are the three overriding factors?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Yemen, the Unnecessary War
SOVEREIGNTY
Governance: The King is Dead? Not by a Long Shot
The usurpation of monarchical governance has been widely promoted as an inexorable trend, but it is a trend now facing reversal in many areas of the world. This report looks at the rôle of monarchies in recent world history, and how, as an example, they play a rôle in securing the future.
HISTORY
ESSENTIAL READING | Rare, Vital Insights
SOVEREIGNTY
The Inevitable Return of Sovereignty
History's cyclical patterns make the case that sovereignty must make its return as the dominant driver of the global strategic architecture of the 21st Century, whether we like it or not. And apparently most societies demand it, particularly when uncertainty strikes.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Greater Syria: Can Wishing Make It So?
Historical fatalism, water and food shortages, and jihadism conspire to set the stage for a major conflict escalation based on “Greater Syria”. It is already underway.
Afghanistan
The Triumph of Belief: Persian Cæsar?
Not just Iran’s Cæsar abroad, Major-General Qasem Soleimani is finally being recognized as Iran’s “Man on Horseback”.