PERSONNEL
PERSONNEL
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
President Trump has alienated not only some of the Persian Gulf states, but also Israel, damaging what had been an unbeatable support base for him and the US.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
SOVEREIGNTY
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Old concepts of “the Middle East” using various geographic models, or using Arab or Arabic or Muslim overlays, are now not representative of the “new Middle East” which is, for the first time in centuries, less definable than ever, by its name and by other simple descriptors.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Now the fruits of Africa’s new era of coups are apparent, not just with the coup in Niger, but also with the other recent coups and “non-constitutional” changes of government.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Nigeria’s political structure failed to account for a strong, minority third political party, and ultimately delivered a President-elect representing the policies which two-thirds of the voters opposed, and a President-elect winning only 10 percent of the registered voters.
PERSONNEL
SOVEREIGNTY
It is an all-new greater Middle East, and the locals mostly now answer to themselves.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
It was more consequential than Washington realized. But now the battle has been joined.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
China’s communists have now placed their fate, and the fate of China’s unwilling people, firmly in the hands of one man. The probable result is the deliberate implosion of mainland China’s economy, a key catalyst in an already unstable global strategic architecture.