ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
China: Beijing’s Brave Face
Beijing’s latest forecasts are a breathtaking disguise for the abyss which it faces.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Samarkand: A Global Change with Washington Out in the Cold
A subtle shift in the global balance has occurred, without direct US input.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Beijing's Indo-Pacific Arc of Power Crystallizes
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Indo-Pacific: EABO and the Need for Speed
Strategic shock in the Pacific might occur as suddenly as it did in Ukraine. Who's ready?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Afghanistan’s Centrality to the PRC, Russia, and India
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
New Realities Emerging in the Indo-Pacific
The Indo-Pacific is the anvil of a new world. But what exactly is the new world?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Test: How Washington Reacts Determines How the World Moves
And, in a unique period of change, the new US Administration is operating from old strategic perceptions, even as it adopts new technology and doctrine
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | The Indo-Pacific’s Changing Strategic Equilibrium
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 03/2021
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Isolating the Tatmadaw May Just Be What Beijing Desires
Washington, in 2011, almost missed its first chance in 50 years to secure a break in the PRC’s dominance over Myanmar. Any strident US moves to insist on the installation of an NLD Government might just reverse everything...
CRIME & CORRUPTION
Terror and Crime: The Indissoluble Marriage’s Second Honeymoon
Contact and cooperation between militant groups and organized crime — an historical match of illegals — has flourished since the early 1990s, eroding political stability around the world.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
War in a Time of Weakness
The 2020 Fear Pandemic breakpoint has moved the world from “strategic competition” to semi-formal hostilities. It is now about strategic management in a period of economic and population decline.