SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Future Security: Cometh the Hour …
Cold War II has begun. The global architecture has now changed. What can we expect in the security and strategic realms?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Surviving the First Shot
It is said that no plan of campaign survives beyond the first shot fired. But, in the case of the Russia-Ukraine military campaign of February-March 2022, and — most importantly — all that contrived to its beginning, some trends and lessons are already visible.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | Military Superiority versus Strategic Superiority
The People’s Liberation Army has made impressive gains. Does it matter?
HISTORY
Consequences: Today It Is Us; Tomorrow It Is You
The Horn of Africa is sliding toward a major war which seems likely to rapidly expand to embrace the major powers. The situation has strong parallels to the 1935 Italian invasion of Ethiopia, which began World War II and destroyed the League of Nations.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CLAIR | Ethiopia: Anti-Climax in a Crisis
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Test: How Washington Reacts Determines How the World Moves
And, in a unique period of change, the new US Administration is operating from old strategic perceptions, even as it adopts new technology and doctrine
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
What Russia Must Always Do
Russian grand strategy is clarifying, retaining its historical constants, but with new themes.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EARLY WARNING | Farewell, Naïve and Sentimental Voter
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Critical Infrastructure: Taking the Heart Out of the Heartland
Today, strategic infrastructure is vulnerable to all threats. Gaining control of populations may be the first goal of 21st Century total war before hostilities begin, but destroying enemy infrastructure is the first goal once shots are fired, or e-fired.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Strategic Frameworks: How Sovereignty Evolves
The concept of the “Westphalian state” — the modern nation-state — has been evolving since 1648, but will we soon see a significant new way in which nationalism and sovereignty are perceived and structured? Somehow, the nation-state does not seem set to disappear.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Restoring the Power and Legitimacy of Governance
Could the restoration of aspects of a more traditional structure help stabilize and inspire Russian governance? Or, indeed, all governments?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The Middle East: Abraham Changes Strategic Realities
A changed Middle East has emerged from the Abraham Accord. Who is ready?