GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
New Zealand
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Moving to the Major Phase of the PRC’s “New Civil War”
The civil war within the party moves into a new phase of suppression of Xi’s opponents and the broader public. The damage to the international economy will be immense. The cost to the Chinese people will be immeasurably more severe.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Revolutionary Britain
The transfer of both the moral and temporal powers in the United Kingdom in September 2022 was a profound event in the global strategic framework. Where will it lead?
SOVEREIGNTY
EARLY WARNING | God Save the King. And Us All.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | The South Pacific: A War to Start All Wars?
Beijing ups its Indo-Pacific thrust while the West diverts its resources into Europe.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
AUKUS: Key Western Alliance for the Coming Decades? And Why it Could Fail
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Immediate Strategic Consequences of the Ukraine War
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Future Security: Cometh the Hour …
Cold War II has begun. The global architecture has now changed. What can we expect in the security and strategic realms?
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
EARLY WARNING | The Crown Never Dies
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
ESSENTIAL READING | Uncivil Outlooks
Important New Strategic Literature
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Indonesia’s Uncertainties Pique Beijing’s Hopes
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Under the Ukraine Cloud, PRC Makes First Challenge to AUKUS
The Solomons and Kiribati moves place the PRC into the South Pacific, beyond the First Island Chain. This would inhibit AUKUS’ ability to protect Taiwan in the event of war. It would also put the PRC astride the junction of major undersea comms cables near the Solomons.