PERSONNEL
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Unrest in Nigeria: A SitRep
The proliferation of insurrectionist and criminal threats has pushed Nigeria to a decisive, but by no means irretrievable, point. Its options, however, are likely to become more clear after the 2023 election.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CLAIR | Nigeria: Breakthrough or Status Quo?
The 2023 election offers the chance of a turning point. Will Nigerians seize it?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Global Restructuring: Who’s Listening to the Big Powers?
Mali’s rejection of outside influences spelled a major reverse in Africa for France, the West, and ECOWAS, but it brought no joy for Beijing, or for regional or global governance.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Nigeria Within Reach of Tactical Success, But…
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Ethiopia Revives as a Red Sea Power
Put aside age-old conflict-driving myths, and opportunities abound.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Nigeria Teeters on the Edge
Insurgency has splintered and spread. Now civilians are becoming State targets.
CRIME & CORRUPTION
Terror and Crime: The Indissoluble Marriage’s Second Honeymoon
Contact and cooperation between militant groups and organized crime — an historical match of illegals — has flourished since the early 1990s, eroding political stability around the world.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Can Erdogan’s “Conflict in All Directions” Strategy Work?
Turkey seems to be at war on all fronts, particularly with its nominal allies. How can that work?
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Global Power Disparity Resumes for Africa, Latin America
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Outlook Post-COVID-19: Re-Thinking Much of Africa
CRIME & CORRUPTION
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Coronavirus, Corruption: Africa’s Inheritance from Beijing
A staff estimate on a topic of current significance.